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For what it's worth, that Pan America is pretty awesome looking. But it looks like it's going to have a sky-high seat just like the GS's do (about 8" - 10" higher than a Softail). There's more than a few of us who fit on Harleys who don't fit on other makers' bikes, and Harley even acknowledged that by making a specific "Low" model of the Ultra Limited. If that Pan America has a reasonable seat height, I would be extremely interested in it.
More like "in no way an M8 replacement." If this new engine replaces anything, it'll replace the Sportster, and fill the hole left in the line by the departure of the V-Rod.
It may replace the sportster first. They simply need to double the engine size again and stuff it into a touring frame. Motor does look like the new 500s/750s. One piece crank, wetsump (no such thing as sumping), gearbox, primary, motor all share the same oil (no transfer issue), and it's water cooled.
They say that it's part of a line that ranges from 500 to 1250 cc. Based on the pics of the other bikes, it certainly doesn't look like a compact engine, it looks pretty huge...
Seeing as they already have the 500 and 750cc Streets, it seems logical that the motor for these new bikes could be a larger version of the Revolution X, at 975 and 1250cc. The pictures of the Pan America, Streetfighter, and Custom don't show any cooling fins and are very likely water-cooled engines. It's possible that they've develoed a new engine, but why make yet another liquid-cooled Revolution-style motor when they already have the X?
Plus, the Revolution X already puts out over 90 hp/liter, much more than the M8 or Sportster engines can do (they're more like 50 hp/liter). All three of those new bikes look like they're designed to compete in already very well established spaces occupied thoroughly by the Metrics, so they are going to need some actual HP to compete, and the Revolution X delivers.
I don't know much about the Street, but the specs for the Street Rod is 47.9 ft/lbs of torque at 4000 rpm. For it to be making 90 hp/liter it would need to make 67.5 hp. Even if the peak hp was at 8000 rpm it would still need to be making 44.31 ft/lbs at this rpm to make 67.5 hp. Somehow I don't think this is the case.
Another thing about the Street is that it is really not a very good engine. The V-rod actually was a very good engine, so hopefully if the MOCO is taking it cues from anything in developing the mill for these future bikes it is the V-rod.
So Harley wants to get into the “adventure” motorcycle game. Not sure thats a very big market in the US and I’m doubtful they will convince many buyers of this type of bike in either the Asian or European markets. They are barking up the wrong tree by trying to be like something they are not.
Adventure bike buyers want rugged functionality but most importantly they want UNBREAKABLE RELIABILITY under extraordinary and unforgiving conditions. Harley has struggled for decades with reliability under the most basic road conditions. They will need to EARN the right to being viewed as a motorcycle maker known for reliability.
They better get their basic road bikes sorted out because anyone buying an HD Adventure bike will destroy the market for HD with the first scent of unreliability in the backcountry.
For it to be making 90 hp/liter it would need to make 67.5 hp.
The Street Rod delivers 64 hp to the rear wheel, according to the Cycle World dyno here. That's observed at the wheel, not claimed at the crank; generally people seem to say about a 15% driveline loss. BMW claims 160 hp for the K1600, but the rear-wheel dynos show it to be more like 135, which is about 15% loss. If that's the case here, then the crankshaft horsepower of the Street Rod should be somewhere around 73, which would be a claimed crankshaft hp/liter of about 97 hp/liter. Peak HP on the dyno was observed at 8490 RPM. It would require about 45 ft/lbs of torque to create 73 horsepower at 8490 RPM.
Another thing about the Street is that it is really not a very good engine. The V-rod actually was a very good engine, so hopefully if the MOCO is taking it cues from anything in developing the mill for these future bikes it is the V-rod.
I'm not aware of the Street engine developing a bad reputation -- what's bad about it? It is supposed to be generally based on the V-Rod design; the V-Rod was the Revolution, and the Street engine is called the Revolution X...
It may replace the sportster first. They simply need to double the engine size again and stuff it into a touring frame.
I don't know if they could get there by doubling the cylinder size... that engine already looks like it's filling the engine bay at 1250cc. But would they need to double it? Even only increasing it 50%, it would still be bigger than 114 cubic inches.
If they do want to double the size, I'd be interested in a V4 version. Heck, they could even cast the cylinders so that it still looks like a V-twin, but two of those 975cc engines would make a pretty huge 1950cc V-4 that would probably forever silence the critiques coming from the metric side... with 90HP per liter it'd be a near-180HP barnstormer. Harley experimented with that concept once before, with Project Nova, making a modular engine that could be a V-twin, or a V-4, or even a V-6. Check out the pics, they even made mega-fat cylinders so it looks like a V-twin, it's just the 4 exhaust pipes that give it away. But straying from the V-Twin formula might be hazardous to retaining their faithful clientele, so ... I guess we'll see in the coming years what their plans are.
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So Harley wants to get into the adventure motorcycle game. Not sure thats a very big market in the US
It appears to be the single largest market that is sustaining the other manufacturers. The "adventure" motorcycle is basically equivalent to the SUV in the car/truck market. They've proven so popular in the car market that Ford is actually discontinuing all cars (except the Mustang) and only building SUVs and trucks. Dodge is said to be discontinuing all cars (except the Challenger/Charger). The SUV and the truck have won. In motorcycles, every major manufacturer other than Harley offers adventure bikes, and in the case of BMW their adventure bikes are the biggest-selling line. And, BMW's sales are growing year-over-year, unlike Harley's. So it makes sense (to me at least) why they would at least look at the segment.
I was on a trip in coastal Oregon and Washington last month. Generally I see at least 20, probably 40 Harleys on the road for every BMW I see in Texas. But up there, it was maybe 2:1, at times 1:1. Every other bike was a big ol' BMW GS. Never seen so many BMW's in my life. Perhaps they were all rentals, as EagleRider has a good stock of 'em up there, but there were an absurdly disproportionate number of adventure bikes vs. Harley cruisers as compared to what I've observed in the south.
Adventure bike buyers want rugged functionality but most importantly they want UNBREAKABLE RELIABILITY under extraordinary and unforgiving conditions.
Well, that's the theory at least. The reality is that SUVs are a massive market and probably something like 99.999999% of SUV buyers will never take them off-road, even on a dirt road. Probably the same thing applies to adventure bikes; you'll have a few who will ride cross-country on them and probably 95% will be used as daily commuters and to "look tough". I agree with you that bulletproof reliability should be an overriding design goal. I'm just not so sure that it's really going to matter all that much when it comes to sales to average folks.
Not an M8 replacement, but certainly could be the Sporty/EVO replacement. The headlight is fugly, but I think MOCO having an adventure bike is a great move.
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