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I checked my cam shoes today, bike has 20,000 miles 2000 fatboy. My inner and outer shoes looked brand new, I could just barley see a groove. So I guess I'll just check them again in 10k miles.
A Harley told me the early TCs were better built. The cam chains were polished and therefore had smoother edges so the tensioners lasted longer. Seemed believable with forged cranks and Timken bearings. As a cost savings measure the chains were no longer polished. Could be a fairy tale, but then the cranks are no longer forged and Timken bearings are no longer used.
You don't ride the bike a lot, so I would recommend you consider another schedule to check the shoes. I can't imagine that age helps the shoes last better, so perhaps you should check them at every oil change, which by my calculation of your mileage (20000 miles in 17 years - or less than 2000 miles per year), happens once every year or two. Given that 10000 more miles is five or six years away at the rate you use the bike, I would not wait that long to re-inspect.
While I would not be in a rush to replace the shoes, looking as good as they do, the inner shoe usually fails first, and is the hardest to inspect well while installed. The inner shoe's condition is not related to the condition of the outer shoe, in my experience.
Ride Safe!
And by that I mean...ride your darn bike more, Brother!
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