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Down 20% for the year

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Old Dec 12, 2015 | 02:18 PM
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Default Down 20% for the year

Not just Harley stock (actually more like 32%) but a local dealer is down 20% for the year and said: "It's getting worse." This is a big dealer. Was there today, two Saturdays before Christmas and the place was empty.

What do we make of it? Local economy is very dependent on the oilfield, so that may be a huge part of the problems in Louisiana, Texas, Oklahoma etc.
 
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Old Dec 12, 2015 | 03:41 PM
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Yep got the same story from the dealer I use this morning. They are way slower than normal.
 
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Old Dec 12, 2015 | 04:02 PM
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Originally Posted by cajunlowrider
Not just Harley stock (actually more like 32%) but a local dealer is down 20% for the year and said: "It's getting worse." This is a big dealer. Was there today, two Saturdays before Christmas and the place was empty.

What do we make of it? Local economy is very dependent on the oilfield, so that may be a huge part of the problems in Louisiana, Texas, Oklahoma etc.
All the oil related companies in Oklahoma are laying off workers in big numbers the last year or so. Can't buy toys if you ain't got a job.
 
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Old Dec 12, 2015 | 04:04 PM
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When other brands are selling bikes as fast as they can build them Harley needs to look at the lineup. You can only go so many decades building the same bikes before people loose interest and buy another brand. Triumph just updated the entire Classic line to the according to Harley folks the dreaded liquid cooling, I bet they sell every one they build and have a waiting list. Where is the Harley Scrambler XL? It would be so easy for them to build what all the custom builders are doing with XL's anyway.

Harley's issue is internal not market. The dealer in Manhattan sold 78 Ducati Scramblers in 6 months.
 
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Old Dec 12, 2015 | 04:51 PM
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It's not only Harley. My sales are down about 22 percent for the last four months. People drink whether the economy is good or bad. They do tend to trade down from that $100.00 bottle of single malt to the $20.00 half gallon of blend when times get tough. As long as oil is below $70.00 a barrel the economy in the oil patch states will suffer.
 
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Old Dec 12, 2015 | 05:09 PM
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The main contributor is the economy. Consumer spending has slowed across many sectors. Also, other manufacturers are offering discounts, and the used market is flooded with clean low mileage Harleys.
 
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Old Dec 12, 2015 | 05:37 PM
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We are told the recession ended, didn't it?
 
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Old Dec 12, 2015 | 05:51 PM
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Originally Posted by upflying
We are told the recession ended, didn't it?
Yeah back in June 2009.

I stopped by the local shop yesterday to pick up an 1157 front turn signal bulb even though I knew it would be expensive (but I drive right past the place.) Hung around for 15 minutes and the only two customers were the guy in front of me at the parts counter and yours truly.

I walked past the sales floor, past 2 $40,000 S/E touring bikes and just kept on walkin'. The was a Dyna FLD for around $18,000 (for a Dyna?)

Too friggin much money IMO.
 
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Old Dec 12, 2015 | 06:16 PM
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My dealer has his annual 25% off sale this Fri., Sat., and Sunday. Long lines at the parts counter and motorclothes area. Folks walking out the door with many boxes and packages including the shadow box with examples of past gas tank designs that you get when you spend over $300.

I walked out with a new springer and the related parts to convert my Softail with. Bought everything needed for a grand less than a old used one on Ebay sells for.

This dealer has had one of their best years. Oh! They sold their $40,299 RGC CVO Ultra and the 11 RGC CVO Ultra that was traded in on it. This may be the cold snow belt but folks here in **** hole Illinois still have jobs even if the state is broke.
 
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Old Dec 12, 2015 | 06:56 PM
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Originally Posted by Scrambler900
When other brands are selling bikes as fast as they can build them Harley needs to look at the lineup. You can only go so many decades building the same bikes before people loose interest and buy another brand. Triumph just updated the entire Classic line to the according to Harley folks the dreaded liquid cooling, I bet they sell every one they build and have a waiting list. Where is the Harley Scrambler XL? It would be so easy for them to build what all the custom builders are doing with XL's anyway.

Harley's issue is internal not market. The dealer in Manhattan sold 78 Ducati Scramblers in 6 months.

I have to think this as well Scrambler. HD's problem is they should have had all new or substantially redesigned bikes coming out a couple years ago, not in the planing stage now. "Project Rushmore", while I own one myself and like the incremental improvements, was simply a relatively minor refresh in the whole scheme of things.

In a nutshell Harley is doing a pretty good job of catering to their traditional clientele (who happen to be aging out of the market in droves) and they need to continue this as long as it's profitable. But they're doing almost nothing to attract a different and/or younger demographic such as their competition is.
 
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